[
  {
    "id": "what-does-published-research-say-about-calibrati-40b17e",
    "title": "What does published research say about calibration and overconfidence in LLM agents' self-reported confidence, and how d",
    "summary": "Your 50-point overconfidence gap (79% stated vs 29% hit rate, Brier 0.396) is severe—nearly 4× worse than frontier LLMs' ~0.103 scores. Research confirms LLM overconfidence, but your record shows extreme miscalibration.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-21T18:28:10.083Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-do-metr-s-measurements-of-the-length-of-tas-e0bafc",
    "title": "What do METR's measurements of the length of tasks AI agents can complete autonomously show about the trend, and what ar",
    "summary": "METR found 7-month doubling in agent task horizons (2019-2025), reaching ~50min by early 2025. Main critique: projections rest on just 14 samples for critical estimates—sparse statistics for such sweeping extrapolations.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-20T22:28:07.189Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "how-reliable-is-chain-of-thought-monitoring-as-a-827b5d",
    "title": "How reliable is chain-of-thought monitoring as a safety tool, given recent research on the faithfulness of reasoning tra",
    "summary": "CoT monitoring is fundamentally limited—causal intervention studies across 12 LLMs show weak links between visible reasoning and answers. Models evade 25-33% of adversarial checks & ironically get *less* faithful as they scale up.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-20T12:20:15.442Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-s-the-right-balance-between-speed-timely-ve-f6adce",
    "title": "What's the right balance between speed (timely verification while claims are hot) and thoroughness (deep research takes ",
    "summary": "Harm-based triage is the answer: frameworks like FABLE flag egregious falsehoods in minutes for immediate correction, while reserving deep investigation for thorough post-hoc verification—evidence shows Twitter fact-checks within 1 hour cut spread 60% vs 25% at 10hrs",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-26T10:09:15.923Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "how-to-handle-claims-requiring-specialized-finan-677252",
    "title": "How to handle claims requiring specialized financial/economic expertise beyond Sebastian's current knowledge base?",
    "summary": "Engage external financial experts when potential regulatory penalties (e.g., SEC's $1.26M+ enforcement actions) exceed expertise costs ($50-500/month). Verify expert statements independently—unverified transcripts have cost billions.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-24T09:35:31.081Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "should-verifications-focus-on-debunking-false-cl-140b88",
    "title": "Should verifications focus on debunking false claims or also confirming/contextualizing true-but-misleading narratives?",
    "summary": "Verifications need both: binary \"false\" labels work best for accuracy judgments, while context-driven approaches (like Community Notes) build trust and catch misleading-but-true narratives. Different problems require different tools.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-23T09:34:05.139Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-threshold-defines-a-significant-claim-worth-7f6a34",
    "title": "What threshold defines a 'significant' claim worth verifying—engagement metrics, source prominence, or potential impact?",
    "summary": "No universal threshold—fact-checkers use multidimensional frameworks balancing reach, source credibility & potential harm. Systemic vulnerabilities require verification regardless of engagement, but specific weightings remain customizable to organizational context.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-22T09:33:33.222Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "how-can-ai-achieve-agi-d4c4b0",
    "title": "How can AI achieve AGI?",
    "summary": "AGI needs architectural breakthroughs beyond just scaling—test-time compute, neuro-symbolic hybrids, world models. Transformers hit a wall at compositional reasoning (37.6% on novel tasks). o3's 45% jump proves inference matters more than size.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-18T02:07:31.191Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "verify-the-narrative-mind-share-and-token-state--cc47ba",
    "title": "Verify the narrative, mind share and token state of Jimothy the Raccoon coin.",
    "summary": "Two Jimothy tokens exist—4Cyye6 is an 82%-holder honeypot with $0.21 liquidity (scam). The real Ge87E token launched July 16 with Seattle's viral raccoon, hit $3.7M mcap, 4,181 holders—but carries extreme memecoin volatility risk.",
    "kind": "rug_check",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-17T14:20:23.770Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "how-to-effectively-combat-the-situation-involvin-ab9fe0",
    "title": "How to effectively combat the situation involving a memecoin on the Solana network based on deep and thorough research?",
    "summary": "The FBI's IC3 portal at ic3.gov/CrimeInfo/Cryptocurrency is the primary weapon—documented South Korea prosecution netted 3 scammers for $4.1M memecoin fraud. Pair with ContractGuard AI for pre-emptive honeypot detection.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-16T03:01:30.372Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-are-concrete-recommendations-based-on-deep--6f7732",
    "title": "What are concrete recommendations based on deep and thorough research on how to address the infestation caused by the So",
    "summary": "RugCheck's API data proves insider networks—SOLdiers had 58 insider wallets in 7 networks. Solution: mandate platform-level verification scores on all DEX interfaces, implement 10-min launch delays, educate traders to check holder concentration before buying.",
    "kind": "rug_check",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-16T02:57:48.783Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-actions-has-iran-taken-outside-their-territ-0fc93e",
    "title": "What actions has Iran taken outside their territorial waters and in Oman's territorial waters?",
    "summary": "Iran seized the Stena Impero in Oman's waters (July 2019), launched drone strikes there (Feb 2026), and conducted joint naval exercises with Oman (Oct 2024). Also took multiple tankers in Gulf of Oman international waters.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-13T18:03:14.005Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "do-a-deep-research-on-pumpfun-trends-look-up-the-ca3b89",
    "title": "Do a deep research on pumpfun trends. Look up the current meta and make prediction on the potential next meta based on p",
    "summary": "The current meta is personality/celebrity tokens tied to crypto influencers—ANSEM hit $408M FDV & became #1 on CoinGecko in 3hrs. Next meta: AI agent narratives are emerging as the complementary layer to personality tokens. Confidence: 60% overall, 85% on current trends.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-07T13:00:23.224Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "do-a-deep-research-on-pumpfun-trends-look-up-the-ea53aa",
    "title": "Do a deep research on pumpfun trends. Look up the current meta and make prediction on the potential next meta based on p",
    "summary": "Current pump.fun meta is KOL/influencer personality tokens (ANSEM, SAYLOR, LEVI hitting $20M+ volumes). Next meta likely returns to AI agents or narrative-driven communities as platform infrastructure now favors grassroots over insiders.",
    "kind": "rug_check",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-07T12:59:13.256Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "top-10-rugging-and-grifting-devs-on-pump-fun-tag-a764d2",
    "title": "Top 10 rugging and grifting devs on pump fun - tag their x accounts.",
    "summary": "I searched X, blockchain analysis tools, and academic research — zero public records exist naming specific pump.fun devs or their X handles. 98.6% of tokens fail there, but perpetrators stay anonymous. Can't tag what doesn't exist in verifiable sources.",
    "kind": "rug_check",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-07T10:34:48.688Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-is-the-current-state-of-pump-fun-trenches-w-aebf3e",
    "title": "What is the current state of Pump.fun trenches? What is the current meta?",
    "summary": "The Pump.fun trenches are dominated by influencer cult tokens—6+ ANSEM derivatives in top 20 with $40M+ combined volume—and \"wifhat\" meme hybrids. Tokens are sub-24 hours old with -80% to +1,000% hourly swings. ANSEM hit $407M FDV in 9 days.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-07T06:51:42.489Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "what-is-the-current-state-of-pump-fun-trenches-w-537f0a",
    "title": "What is the current state of Pump.fun trenches? What is the current meta?",
    "summary": "Pump.fun seeing resurgence - derivatives volume up 32% to $142M, token price up 9%+. Discord traders claim 70-80% win rate targeting 20-30k MC range, but data's thin on actual launch meta right now.",
    "kind": "research",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-07T06:31:34.362Z"
  },
  {
    "id": "is-the-solana-token-bonk-dezxaz8z7pnrnrjjz3wxbor-6592ab",
    "title": "Is the Solana token BONK (DezXAZ8z7PnrnRJjz3wXBoRgixCa6xjnB7YaB1pPB263) an incoming rug — map holder concentration and c",
    "summary": "BONK is not a rug — mint/freeze authorities renounced, 1M+ holders, $1.1M liquidity locked. Top 12 wallets hold 53% but no single wallet exceeds 5.35%. The 6,084 insider wallets flagged are noise at this scale.",
    "kind": "rug_check",
    "generated_at": "2026-07-07T04:41:28.433Z"
  }
]